search
for
 About Bioline  All Journals  Testimonials  Membership  News  Donations


African Population Studies
Union for African Population Studies
ISSN: 0850-5780
Vol. 25, No. 2, 2011, pp. 337-361
Bioline Code: ep11031
Full paper language: English
Document type: Literature Review
Document available free of charge

African Population Studies, Vol. 25, No. 2, 2011, pp. 337-361

 en African urbanization trends and prospects
Bocquier, Philippe & Mukandila, Andrew Kabulu

Abstract

The paper aims at analysing and projecting urbanization trends using United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects data, 2007 Revision. A third order polynomial is used to model urban-rural growth difference from 1950 to 2005 country by country. The results of the model are compared to UN projection on urban growth for the period 2010-2050. Using the new model, the African urban population is projected to stagnate around its current level below 40%, with little variations by regions up to 2050, while the UN predicts 62%. The findings suggest that UN projections are excessively high and do not match the level of economic and social development in Africa.

 
© Copyright 2011 - African Population Studies
Alternative site location: http://www.uaps-uepa.org

Home Faq Resources Email Bioline
© Bioline International, 1989 - 2017, Site last up-dated on 05-Dec-2017.
Site created and maintained by the Reference Center on Environmental Information, CRIA, Brazil
System hosted by the Internet Data Center of Rede Nacional de Ensino e Pesquisa, RNP, Brazil