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SCIENCE INTERNATIONAL Newsletter No. 62 August 1996
Code Number: NL96019 Size of files: Text: 131.5K Graphics: photographs (jpg) - 251.9K MEETING REPORTS The First IGBP Congress Sheila Lunter, Information Officer, IGBP During five days in April, the IGBP's leading researchers assembled in the small medieval town of Bad Munstereifel, Germany, for the First IGBP Congress. This was the first time in the ten year history of the IGBP that all the Programme Element (PE) Scientific Steering Committees (SSC) had met together. As emphasised by Chris Rapley, the IGBP Executive Director, and Peter Liss, the SC-IGBP Chairman, in their opening speeches, a major objective of the meeting was to reinforce the "corporate identity" of the IGBP, and to place ever-greater emphasis on the integration and synthesis of the Programme's results. This theme was expanded in the key-note address, "The International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme: A Study of Global Change and the Human Prospect" delivered by Thomas Malone, one of the originators of the Programme. In his speech, Professor Malone maintained that current human activities are inequitable, unsustainable, and probably unstable. He emphasised that the IGBP and related research activities provide essential input for the attainment of a sustainable human society, and outlined some development paths by which the human race could achieve this. He noted the crucial importance of strengthening the involvement of researchers from within the social sciences. On the first and the last full days of the Congress, the Programme Element SSCs held their business meetings. These included special emphasis on inter-Programme Element collaboration, and significant progress was made in terms of planning and specific agreements. The second full day was dedicated to presentations from the Chairs of each of the eleven IGBP Programme Elements in which they reviewed recent successes and future plans. It was apparent that the Programme is continuing to develop rapidly, with the emergence of a wide variety of new results. A presentation was also given by John Marks, the new Chair of the International Group of Funding Agencies (IGFA) (and a previous IGBP Executive Director) on the current status and plans of IGFA. For the following two days participants were able to sign up for theme sessions organised by members of the SC-IGBP ("top down") and the Programme Elements ("bottom up") respectively. The SC-IGBP sessions covered the topics of "Ice and Earth System Variability", "Ecological Buffering in Global Change", "Modelling of the Total Earth System", "Global Change and Food Supplies", "Capacity Building", "Scaling", and "Closing the Carbon and Nitrogen Cycles". In each case a series of presentations was followed by open discussion, which were universally lively and productive. The sessions organised by the Programme Elements covered a wide variety of topics including "The Amazonian Large-scale Biosphere Atmosphere experiment (LBA)", "The ISLSCP Global Datasets", "Mountain Hydrology", "Land Use and Land Cover Change as a driver of Global Change", "Net Primary Productivity modelling", "PAGES-START (PEP iii, Africa)", "PAGES and its relation to other Programme Elements", "Research on the Arctic Drainage Basin and its link to Climate Change", "The Weather Generator", "PalaeoTrace Gas Evolution over the last 150 years", "General Interactions between IGAC and GCTE", and "IGBP Oceans Research". Once again, the sessions were lively and resulted in much valuable debate, followed up where appropriate in the subsequent SSC meetings. The venue of the Congress was the Bad Munstereifel Kurhaus, an old monastery which was renovated and converted only relatively recently. All activities including the plenary and break-out sessions, meetings, breaks, lunches and dinners took place at the Kurhaus, providing a rich opportunity for SSC members to meet with their colleagues in other Programme Elements. Indeed, throughout the proceedings, the development of new contacts, new ideas and new insights into the activities and methods of the different IGBP PEs was much in evidence. In spite of a demanding schedule, there was some time for social interaction and some (brief) relaxation. An opportunity to see the medieval church of the town of Bad Munstereifel was offered on the Saturday night, when the town organised a concert for the Congress participants. Organist Margareta Hurholz played pieces of Bach, Beer and Widor in historic and evocative surroundings. The Congress was concluded by a memorable banquet, following a fascinating address by Nobel Prize winner Paul Crutzen, on the development and discoveries of atmospheric chemistry over the past 30 years. Paul's long involvement with the IGBP started with his membership of Co- ordinating Panel 1, which evolved into the IGAC Core Project. He continues as one of the IGAC Vice Chairs. The Congress was organised by the IGBP Secretariat, especially Neil Swanberg and June Bostrom, with the help of Helmut Kuhr, Sabine Lutkemeier and their team of local organisers. The widely acclaimed smooth-running of the event owes much to their collective dedication and detailed planning. The Congress was financed from the IGBP central budget, with generous support from the German Ministry of Education, Science, Research and Technology (BMBF) and the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG). The Congress was widely acknowledged as a great success. As noted by Chris Rapley in his final summary, it heralded the entry of the IGBP into a new and crucial phase of its development in which unique new forms of research projects are emerging, and in which the programme level integration and synthesis of results is becoming a reality. Now is the time to consolidate the progress and links forged in Bad Munstereifel. Many a challenge still lies ahead, but the spirit of the Congress will ensure that for the future of the IGBP, no obstacle is too high. Brief report on various meetings at the ICSU Headquarters Julia Marton-Lefevre, Executive Director, ICSU The months of April and May were busy ones at the ICSU Secretariat in Paris. The third meeting of J-GOOS (Joint Scientific and Technical Committee for the Global Ocean Observing System) took place from 23 to 25 April, followed immediately by a strategic meeting on a possible role of ICSU in Science and Technology for Earth Management (STEM). J-GOOS is one of the three global observing systems in which ICSU is involved, and it is co-sponsored by the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission, IOC, and the World Meteorological Organization, WMO. J-GOOS is working on several specific topics, including on ocean observations for climate; health of the oceans, living marine resources and coastal zones. The participants at the meeting on STEM suggested that ICSU should clearly articulate the responsibility of scientists in ensuing that wise decisions are made about the sustainable use of the Earth's resources. Recommendations from this meeting are being submitted to appropriate ICSU bodies and the General Assembly. The 11th meeting of the Advisory Committee on Environment (ACE) was held in Paris on 8 and 9 May. This was the last meeting under the chairmanship of Professor J.W.M. la Riviere, who was instrumental in creating ACE in 1989. The new Chairman of ACE, as of May 10, 1996, is Professor J.J. McCarthy, former Chair of the SC-IGBP. ACE continued its work of monitoring progress in the major global change research programmes (IGBP, WCRP, DIVERSITAS, IHDP) and the three global observing systems (GCOS, GOOS, GTOS) in which ICSU is involved. ACE also provides advice to the Executive Board about numerous partnership arrangements between ICSU and other bodies, such as the UN Commission on Sustainable Development, the Earth Council, the Coordinating Committee on the World Climate Programme and the various Framework Conventions related to the environment. ACE will continue to give guidance to ICSU on the activities being planned to mark the five years after the Rio Conference on Environment and Development. The Panel on the Assessment of ICSU held its second meeting in Paris on 12, 13 and 14 May, providing Panel Members the possibility to interact with members of the Executive Board. One of the many tasks of the Panel was to review numerous responses from ICSU Members, Associates and partners to a letter from the Panel Chairman, Dr. R. Schmitt, soliciting inputs to the assessment process. A report on the Assessment is expected for the General Assembly. The Standing Finance Committee held its annual meeting on 12-13 May and reviewed the financial results of 1995, as well as making plans for the future budgets of ICSU. Recommendations about finance were sent to the Members of ICSU in May, in preparation for the General Assembly. The 70th meeting of the Executive Board of ICSU was held at the ICSU Secretariat from 14 to 16 May. Executive Board and Assessment Panel Members were invited for dinner by the President of the French Academy of Sciences, Dr. Marianne Grunberg-Manago, who informed her guests that as a former Union and now Academy President, she was able to appreciate ICSU's role from both perspectives. The Board continued its careful review of the follow-up to the Resolutions of the 24th General Assembly and of the 33rd and 34th meetings of the General Committee. The Board finalized a Statement on Animal Research which was a result of comprehensive consultations with ICSU Members and the International Council on Laboratory Animal Science. The Board also heard with interest reports of progress made in the setting up of a new Union of Computing Science and Informatics which may be eligible for membership in ICSU in the future. The Standing Finance Committee (SFC) having met in Paris immediately prior to the Executive Board, the Treasurer and Chairman of the SFC reported on ICSU's financial position to date and on preliminary budgets for the ensuing years. Plans for a meeting on the future of the ICSU grants programme were noted and it was agreed to discuss the recommendations of this meeting at the 71st meeting of the Board. In reviewing the situation of the Secretariat, the grant from the National Science Foundation of the USA to help ICSU with its varied work in the area of the environment was noted with pleasure and gratitude. The grant allows for the addition of a new person in the Secretariat to be charged with environmental matters. The Board also discussed the future arrangements for the Standing Committee on the Freedom in the Conduct of Science (SCFCS), and accepted with gratitude the invitation by the Swiss Academy of Sciences to house the Secretariat as of 1997. The Board also accepted, in principle, the invitation from the Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters to host the Secretariat for the proposed Standing Committee on Responsibility and Ethics in Science, if this is set up by the General Assembly. The Executive Board reviewed the preparations for the 25th General Assembly of ICSU, and discussed a number of proposals being forwarded to the Assembly for decision, including those dealing with the follow-up to the Conference on Electronic Publishing, the setting up of a Scientific Committee on Sciences for Food Security, and the launching of a major Programme on Capacity Building in Science. In reviewing the various activities in the area of the environment with which ICSU is involved, the Board's work was greatly facilitated by the recommendations and advice provided by the Advisory Committee on the Environment (ACE) on such matters as the invitations to new members of the Scientific Committees for the IGBP and the WCRP, the increased cooperation between the Global Observing Systems (GCOS, GOOS and GTOS), the developments in the newly co-sponsored International Human Dimensions Programme in Global Environmental Change (IHDP) and the partnership with UN and other bodies in the actions planned to mark the fifth anniversary, in 1997, of the Conference on the Environment and Development held in Rio de Janeiro in 1992. The Executive Board also discussed the various cooperative actions involving ICSU and developing countries (primarily through COSTED-IBN and TWAS, and also work with the scientific communities in the former Soviet Union and Central and Eastern Europe. Plans for a Workshop on Financing Basic Research in Central and Eastern Europe and the FSU, (Paris, July 1996) were reviewed and the EB was pleased to note the numerous partners that have joined ICSU in the organization of this meeting. The Executive Board also provided guidance to the Secretariat in its continued attempt to improve its outreach activities through the World Wide Web and written publications. The 71st meeting of the Executive Board will take place in Washington in September 1996. The Secretaries General of the Unions and interdisciplinary ICSU bodies were invited to an informal meeting at the ICSU Secretariat on 17 May. The meeting, chaired by the President of ICSU, was attended by several Officers. Nineteen of the Unions and 13 of the interdisciplinary or standing committees were represented at this meeting which served as a useful forum to exchange and share information on topics of common concern and interest. The Chairman of the Committee on Capacity Building in Science, Professor Leon Lederman, addressed the group and asked for advice in preparation for his Committee's forthcoming meeting, and the Officers of the Standing Committees on the Freedom in the Conduct of Science and the ICSU Press also discussed ways of involving the ICSU bodies further in their work. It was agreed that such meetings are useful and should be repeated periodically. The third meeting of the Committee on Capacity Building in Science (CCBS) was held in Paris on 20-21 May. Committee members finalized their proposal for ICSU to launch a major Programme on Capacity Building in Science to be submitted to the General Assembly in September. GETTING TO KNOW A World Network of Historical Research Robert Halleux, Secretary, Division of History of Science of IUHPS Benoit Severyns, Executive Assistant Although the Division of History of Science (DHS) is relatively discreet among the various bodies of ICSU, it is very rich in human resources, activities and projects. The scientific profiles of the officers of DHS reflect the diversity of the discipline. Our Past President, William Shea, is one of the leading personalities in the history of the Scientific Revolution. President Robert Fox (UK) is an historian of the relationship between science and industry in the nineteenth century; the first Vice-President Raffaella Simili (Italy), an historian of scientific institutions; the second Vice President Mary Jo Nye (USA), a specialist on Chemistry in the nineteenth century; the Secretary General Robert Halleux (Belgium), an historian of pre-Lavoisian chemistry and metallurgy; Treasurer David King (Germany) is dealing with Arabic astronomy and scientific instruments. The same wide scope of interests can be found among the assessors: Shuntaro Ito (History of Mathematics); Ubiratan d'Ambrosio (mathematics); Chen Meidong (history of Astronomy); S.M.R. Ansari (astronomy, especially in the Islamic world); Juan Jose Saldana (history of science in Latin America); Vladimir Kirsanov (Russian scientific revolution). DHS includes forty-two national committees. Many of them are developing important research activities. The most recent members, the Baltic States and some Islamic countries (Iran and Pakistan), reflect the major intellectual changes that are currently taking place in these areas. The emerging historical consciousness of the Baltic area is closely related to the present political, economic and cultural development of the region. Conferences sponsored by DHS regularly gather researchers from Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Russia, and Scandinavian countries. The Islamic world is developing its own approach to its scientific heritage in the framework of a global reflection on the relationship between the Koran and science and its social, ethical and political implications. This is why the DHS Secretariat has built new links with countries like Malysia and Uzbekistan. The DHS-DLMPS (Division of Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science) joint meeting, to be held in Liege on 15-16 December 1996 will be devoted to the relationship between science and religion in the Muslim world and in the West. In addition, DHS includes eight transnational scientific commissions:
- Islamic Civilization (President S.M.R. Ansari, India) - Modern Physics (President R. Stuewer, F. Bevilacqua, USA and Italy - Oceanography (President Eric Mills, Canada) - Pacific Circle (President D. Stoddart, USA) - Scientific instruments (President R.G.W. Anderson, UK) - Teaching of history of science (president Alistair M. Duncan, UK) - Women in science, technology and medicine (President Eva Vamos, Hungary)
- History of Geographical Thought (DHS and International Geographical Union) - History of Geological science (DHS and International Union of Geological Sciences) - History of Mathematics (DHS and International Mathematical Union).
Two Strategic Priorities For DHS, one of the main priorities is the keeping of the records of contemporary science. Indeed, our discipline is increasingly turning towards XXth century science. It is understandable since our century has witnessed more scientific revolutions than all previous centuries together. However, and quite paradoxically, we are less documented on the XXth century than on the Scientific Revolution because laboratory and scientific papers are regularly disposed of and their lifetime is very short. ln order to establish priorities, the Commission on Bibliography and Documentation and the International Council on Archives organised a conference entitled "Archiving the records of contemporary science", in Liege, on 28-29 May. DHS is trying to awaken all its national committees to the necessity of a policy to be followed in this field and is sending them guidelines in this respect. It is equally important that the different Scientific Unions of ICSU be aware of the emergency of preserving materials for future historical research and that they also inform their national scientific committees. The second priority is a global reflection on the relationships between pure and applied science in its technological and industrial context. These relationships have evolved in the course of time and need a critical reappraisal. Indeed, historical research seems able to give new insights in contemporary debates. For many years, DHS has had close links with ICOHTECH, which coordinates cooperation in the field of history of technology. But historians of science and historians of technology and industry still belong, in many respects, to two separate worlds. In order to bridge a gap between these researchers, the XXth International Congress of History of Science will be devoted to the theme Science, Technology and Industry. The venue is not only the headquarters of the Secretary General, Professor Halleux, but it is also one of the birthplaces of the Industrial Revolution of the nineteenth century. The Congress will take place from 20 to 26 July 1997. For further information, please contact:
Congress Office
Tel: +32 41 66.94.79 Keeping the Windows to the Radio Universe open: The side effects of increased telecommunication Willem A. Baan, Chairman of Inter-Union Commission on Frequency Allocations for Radio Astronomy and Space Science (IUCAF) Do you use a cellular telephone daily? a pager? satellite TV and CD-quality audio broadcasting? a GPS global positioning system? Are these services essential in your life? If so, then you are part of the rapidly growing global demand on a global resource, which has detrimental effects on part of the scientific community. The electromagnetic spectrum is a natural resource. It is renewable in the sense that any pollution disappears at the speed of light. However, for a passive user using the same part of the spectrum the damage done can be significant. Passive users of the spectrum can be either radio astronomers using very large telescopes to study extremely weak celestial sources, or the space research community and remote sensing radio scientists studying the Earth's surface. For reference, I note that a standard cellular phone transmitting from the surface of the Moon would appear to be among the three strongest radio sources in the Universe. Optical astronomers have already been driven from urban areas because of the reality of light and air pollution. The continuous demand for radio spectrum and the lack of appropriate protection for the radio astronomy and passive services are devastating to passive radio research. Soon our window to the radio universe will not have a clean spectral pinhole to look through. Will it be possible to continue to protect the passive radio spectrum use from global problems of man-made electromagnetic signals? The problems for the passive users come mostly from active users (employing powerful transmitters), because their bands are interspersed between passive bands. In reality, the spectrum has been sliced up like "a layer cake" without much foresight on how each band could be used in the future. Technically it is very difficult to completely contain emissions inside an assigned band and a small fraction of the emission (roughly 0.001% or less of the peak) will spill into adjacent bands or even into harmonically related bands at multiples of the assigned frequency. But even such weak spills pose a significant problem for a passive user studying even weaker signals in an adjacent band. Filtering and good engineering practices can eliminate much of these weak "unwanted" emissions. The travel distance along the curved Earth surface and intervening terrain will attenuate all emissions from terrestrial services reaching a telescope. The Earth's terrain, however, does not protect a telescope from satellite and aeronautical transmissions.
Spectrum allocation and spectrum use is regulated by national
administrations, but under internationally agreed guidelines.
The international forum is the International Telecommunication
Union (ITU) located in Geneva. At regular (presently two year)
intervals, the member governments convene to decide on new
rules on how to use certain bands of the spectrum. Over the
years, the passive user community has been allocated several
bands across the spectrum for exclusive use or for sharing
with other (active) services. The bands allocated to Earth
Exploration (passive), Space Research (passive) and the Radio
Astronomy Service (RAS) allow observations of special
phenomena, such as spectral lines of atoms and molecules in
the Earth atmosphere, in our Galaxy and in many distant
galaxies. Other bands are set aside for broadband continuum
observations. Within the ITU Radio Regulations these passive
and radio astronomy bands are generally protected with the
wording <
IUCAF, as a representative of the passive spectrum users of
IAU, URSI and COSPAR, actively participates in the world of
ITU regulation. Ten radio astronomers participated in the
recent World Radiocommunication Conference (WRC-95) in
October/November 1995. IUCAF has non-voting observer status at
the ITU. The radio astronomy service successfully "held the
fort" and even slightly improved the protection status for
certain bands. IUCAF members and other radio scientists also
play a very active role in the ITU Study Groups, which have an
advisory and preparatory role in the ITU organization. IUCAF
coordinates policy and exchanges experience with regional
committees such as CRAF, the Committee on Radio Astronomy
Frequencies sponsored by the European Science Foundation in
CEPT countries, and CORF, Committee on Radio Frequencies
sponsored by the USA Academy of Sciences. Little spectrum has
been allocated for passive use over the years, less than one
percent of spectrum below 10 GHz, some of it even shared with
other services, and 4.7 percent below 30 GHz. Nevertheless, a
continuous battle needs to be fought for protection of these
bands, because after all it "costs" money to protect these
bands. Other spectrum users consider the passive spectrum as
prime "spectrum real estate", that is of great lucrative
value.
The plight of the passive users is exemplified by the current
proceedings of ITU-R Task Group 1-3. The objective of this
Task
Group is to propose new regulatory standards on "unwanted
emission" to be considered at WRC-97, with particular
reference to protecting the radio astronomy service. However,
economic and technical arguments weigh much more than the
desire of protection. Since radio telescopes cannot hide from
space stations, satellite transmissions can be particularly
damaging. For example, during a recent meeting of TG 1-3, the
space service lobby, led by a European direct-TV satellite
company called ASTRA, was particularly adamant against setting
meaningful standards for unwanted emissions for the space
services. At present, a faulty ASTRA satellite negligently
transmits inside a passive band at 10.7 GHz. Because
corrective retrofitting of satellites is time consuming and
expensive, often an interfering satellite must die before a
fix can be made. In another interference case, IUCAF and the
administration of the Russian GLONASS global positioning
satellite system finally agreed in 1993 on system
modifications to alleviate the interference in the 1612 MHz
RAS band. But it will take until the year 2005 before these
measures are fully implemented. Nevertheless, the newly
proposed Motorola IRIDIUM system with 66 satellites seeks
access to this same RAS band part of the time. On the other
hand, there are proposed satellite systems that keep unwanted
emissions in mind, employ good engineering and design
practices, and fully protect the passive services.
How do the passive spectrum users proceed in their effort to
keep the spectrum "clean" for passive use in the face of these
enormous economic pressures ? Within the ITU many
administrations show great consideration for the passive
services and consider it a necessity to give a clean spectral
heritage to future generations. But very often support only
comes when it does not cost anything. One effective way of
protecting the spectrum is to promote "spectrum efficiency" by
reducing unwanted emissions. Unfortunately, some spectrum
regulators consider spectrum efficiency equivalent to "any
unused spectrum is wasted spectrum". In the case of air and
water pollution, the general rule is that the polluter cleans
up. Why not extend this to the electromagnetic spectrum and
insist that responsible engineering practices and the
reduction of unwanted emission be part of the cost of doing
business ?
Although "telecommunication" is a primary mission for the ITU,
decisions made must be balanced and must not overemphasize
economic aspects and commercial lobbying. In particular,
commercial entities should not obtain ITU voting rights in the
future. In retrospect, many of the present problems in the
spectrum world are consequences of unwise decisions from the
past. For instance, the layer cake approach to spectrum
management will continue to cause problems. Common wisdom
dictates that inherently interfering services should not be
located in bands adjacent to those that require cleanliness,
unless sufficient protective guard bands are created. In
particular, space services should be allocated to bands where
they do the least damage to other services. Strong regulations
should be put in place to ensure that the space services do
not interfere even with each other. Furthermore, some
administrations are currently looking at spectrum auctions to
cover budget deficits. With spectrum being sold to the highest
bidder, spectrum bands become the property (alas !) of the
commercial companies and their use a right instead of a
privilege.
Wisdom in spectrum assignments will particularly be required
in the higher frequency regime of mm-wave frequencies, where
currently new services are introduced. For many years the
radio astronomers successfully pierced through the Earth's
atmosphere from their high and dry mountain tops at
frequencies from 30 GHz to 800 GHz. At these frequencies there
has been no man-made interference because no other services
were using these bands. However, the recent availability of
new technology opens up possibilities for commercial
applications. In particular mass produced systems, such as
"collision-avoidance radars" for automobiles need to be
designed carefully in order to avoid harmful effects for other
spectrum users. Radio astronomers may not need access to the
spectrum at all places on Earth. Certain administrations have
instituted geographical protection zones to effectively
protect the national observatories from ground based
transmitters, although not from aeronautical and space
systems. Protection zones of limited size, which prohibit any
high frequency transmitter, will be an effective and necessary
part of protecting mm-wave observatories.
Soon we will be able to enrich our life style with satellite
paging and cellular phone services, and multisatellite data
and Internet services. Soon also our automobile radar system
will give proximity warnings. All this progress should not be
made at the cost of losing our capacity to look at the
Universe through the radio window.
Arecibo Observatory is part of the National Astronomy and
Ionosphere Center and is operated by Cornell University under
a cooperative agreement with the National Science
Foundation.
More information on passive spectrum issues can be obtained
from:
IUCAF, Arecibo Observatory Barrio Esperanza
Sophie Boyer King
Sophie Boyer King, Environmental Science Officer at ICSU was
born in France and educated both in France and the UK with an
international background. She obtained a BSc in Biology from
the University of Bristol in 1993 and MSc in Ecological
Economics from the University of Edinburgh in 1994. After a
few months travelling in the Australian continent and in South
East Asia, she returned to the UK. She worked in Edinburgh as
an Investment Administrator in a large American Bank, Bankers
Trust, where she was responsible for some of their French
operations. Her fields of interest remaining in the processes
of environmental change, and the multidisciplinary nature of
science for policy-making, she joined ICSU at the end of June
1996.
SPOTLIGHTS ON SCIENCE
World Climate Research Programme (WCRP): Successes Stimulate
Far-reaching Plans: A report of the 17th meeting of the Joint
Scientific Committee for WCRP
Hartmut Grassl, Director, WCRP
The seventeenth session of the Joint Scientific Committee
(JSC) for the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) was held
from 11 to 16 March 1996 in Toulouse, France, following the
kind invitation by Meteo-France and CERFACS (Centre Europeen
de Recherche et de Formation Avancee en Calcul Scientifique).
Several decisions taken reflected the increasing pressure both
politically and from funding agencies for more coordination
and cooperation between the major global change research
programmes.
Coordination of Global Change Research
The successfully completed first project of WCRP, TOGA
(Tropical Ocean/Global Atmosphere, 1985 to 1994) has
demonstrated some predictability of the El Nino circulation
anomaly up to one year ahead. The use of its results can be
seen as an example of the effective integration of research,
impact assessment (of climate variability) and, for some
countries, the adaptation of agriculture to the seasonal
climate predictions instigated by TOGA. The Climate Agenda, an
Integrating Framework for the World Climate Programme (WCP),
accepted by all partners (FAO, ICSU, UNEP, UNESCO and its IOC,
WMO) in 1995, is trying to develop a similar end-to-end system
involving all four components of the WCP. Therefore, all WCRP
projects were asked by the JSC to report their main
actions/achievements/ deliverables for inclusion into the
action plan of the Climate Agenda.
The JSC endorsed a pilot project on Climate Variability
Prediction for Agriculture to be implemented within the START
framework. This new project will need input from at least four
WCRP and IGBP projects and will also have a strong IHDP
component. Provided the START Standing Committee and the
Scientific Committees of IGBP and IHDP endorse the proposal,
detailed planning and implementation will be considered with
the START Secretariat. The project would comprise four
elements:
- development of the observed crop yield/climate variability
relation via modelling of crop yield as a function of a given
climate variability pattern;
- the use of climate variability (predictions) for crop yield
forecasts;
- encouragement of changed agricultural practices based on
actual climate anomaly predictions, taking into account the
regional infrastructure and the larger scale food markets.
Coordination of WCRP Projects
With the principal endorsement of the science plan of the
newest WCRP project on Climate Variability and Predictability
(CLIVAR) at the 16th session of JSC in 1995, WCRP has entered
a new phase aiming at the understanding of climate variability
and, to the extent possible, climate prediction of the full
climate system on a timescale up to a century. Obviously, this
study has to include the influence of mankind on global
climate as well as the changes of the chemistry of the
atmosphere and the vegetation cover. This also means that the
progress in process studies, for example, cloud radiation
interaction as investigated by the Global Energy and Water
Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) and the sea-ice atmosphere
interaction in the Arctic studied by the Arctic Climate System
Study (ACSYS) have to be rapid to make all three thrusts of
CLIVAR successful:
- in thrust 2, the decadal to centennial climate variability
will be investigated with a special emphasis on the role of
the oceans in the global coupled climate system.
- in thrust 3, the quantification of anthropogenic climate
change and projections of future climate are the foci.
The determination of global fields of air-sea fluxes of
momentum, sensible and latent heat, radiation and water vapour
is of fundamental importance to all components of WCRP, but
especially for WOCE and CLIVAR. Therefore, the JSC
established, after the presentation of a workshop report, a
task group on air-sea fluxes to catalogue and evaluate
strengths and weaknesses of existing air-sea flux data
sets.
Climate Modelling
All WCRP projects have a modelling sub-group promoting the
integration of new insights from process studies and refined
global observations into state-of-the-art models of the
general circulation of the atmosphere and the oceans. The
recent statement by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) in its second scientific assessment that "the
balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on
global climate" would not have been possible without the
progress in three-dimensional coupled ocean-atmosphere
modelling. These models simulate climate variability on
time-scales up to several decades to such a degree of realism
that they can be used together with paleoclimatic
reconstructions, radiative forcing trends and pattern
recognition methods for meaningful detection studies. The JSC
members were impressed by the presentation of Dr. B. Santer,
the convening lead author of the chapter "Detection of Climate
Change and Attribution of Causes" of the IPCC assessment
describing the scientific basis for these studies. However,
for more confident attribution of causes, we still need far
better paleoclimatic reconstructions, model parameterizations
and data on the history of radiative forcing. The JSC asked
all WCRP projects to review their activities that directly
support or are relevant to anthropogenic climate change
studies, also including the subject of improved assessment of
regional change, for example by "downscaling" of model
results.
Climate Monitoring
The JSC prepared a statement on the need for improved
climate monitoring (including hydrological and oceanographic
parameters) to be sent to international programmes (GCOS,
GTOS, GOOS), intergovernmental bodies (WMO, IOC), major space
agencies and national operational agencies, calling attention
to the possibility of readily enhancing the value of many
types of observations for monitoring purposes at roughly
present funding levels. JSC will also include in future
meetings a discussion of climate monitoring and review with
GCOS, operational climate monitoring, climate data products
and potential WCRP contributions to GCOS.
Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX)
The production of global climatology data sets has been
given high priority in the overall GEWEX scientific strategy.
Several of these time-series, including cloud and
precipitation as well as surface solar radiation fluxes,
inferred from a combination of in situ and remote
sensing data, continue to be assembled. A recent exciting
development is the availability for the first time of the
observed water vapour column content showing systematic
variability from year to year on global scales. These data
sets are the basis for climate model evaluation.
Concerning surface process studies, GEWEX has now started the
implementation of continental-scale hydrometeorological
experiments for the Mississippi, the MacKenzie and the Amazon
river basins, as well as for the Asian monsoon area and the
Baltic Sea catchment, coordinated by the GEWEX
Hydrometeorology Panel. For these experiments the JSC adopted
an additional criterion, proposed by the GEWEX Scientific
Steering Group, i.e., collaborative agreements with
water resource agencies or related client/user groups to
better utilize improved continental-scale information with the
objective of assessing the impacts on regional water
resources.
This leads to the third main activity of GEWEX, modelling and
prediction, in which both the coupling of vegetation plus
soils to general atmospheric circulation models and a better
cloud parameterization are the main thrusts, in order to
extend the predictability range of rainfall, especially for
the interior of continents. However, progress in the
understanding of cloud processes could be delayed due to the
lack of a three-dimensional observation of water in the
atmosphere in all its three phases. Space agencies will be
consulted to see whether their plans in this respect can be
expanded.
World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE)
The full scientific return of WOCE will be realized, after
the completion of the field phase in 1997, in the analysis,
interpretation, modelling and synthesis phase only if the
resources for developing and using global ocean models for
prognostic studies and assimilation are made available. The
Chairman of JSC and the Director of the WCRP will ask for
national commitments to support these efforts to ensure that
WOCE meets its primary objectives of producing a dynamically
consistent description of the global ocean in the 1990s, and
of developing improved models that accurately reproduce the
ocean circulation. A highlight of the JSC meeting was the
presentation of TOPEX/POSEIDON results by Dr. J.-F. Minster,
who showed that these altimetric measurements achieve an
accuracy of a few centimetres for local ocean topography, is
able to measure global mean sea level every 10 days and shows
an astonishingly large sea level rise significantly correlated
to mean ocean surface temperature during the first three years
with continuous data.
Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate
Although only recently started, SPARC could already report
that the stratospheric temperature data sets evaluated as a
whole, reveal a significant cooling trend during recent
decades which is mainly due to ozone depletion in the lower
stratosphere and to the increased greenhouse effect in higher
layers of the stratosphere. JSC endorsed SPARC plans for a
global stratosphere/troposphere exchange study as part of a
comprehensive implementation plan.
Polar Climate and the Arctic Climate System Study
(ACSYS)
While ACSYS concentrates on the determination of the net
fresh water flux from the Arctic Ocean, which is fundamental
to the understanding of the thermohaline circulation of the
global ocean, there is still no internationally co-ordinated
effort to determine the influence of the entire cryosphere on
global climate. JSC therefore charged the scientific steering
groups for ACSYS and CLIVAR with the development of plans for
a study of the mass balance of the Greenland ice-sheet and its
stability and asked the JSC/CAS Working Group on Numerical
Experimentation (WGNE) and CLIVAR Anthropogenic Climate Change
Numerical Experimentation Group to assess present model
simulations and diagnosis of the Greenland icesheet (possibly
also including the Antarctic ice-sheet) with respect to
reactions to anthropogenic forcing.
WCRP Mid-term Scientific Conference
JSC proposed venue, dates and format of the WCRP Mid-term
Scientific Conference, which was recommended by an ICSU review
panel in 1994. The conference will take place in Geneva and
last about 3 days, during the week of 25-29 August 1997. Its
main goal is the further development of the WCRP research
strategy based on achievements of the projects, the statements
on uncertainties in the IPCC 1995 Science Assessment and the
changed expectation by governments as they implement the
Framework Convention on Climate Change, JSC asked each
scientific steering group to supply material on "future
prospects" by September 1996 which will be used by the
scientific organizing committee, chaired by Dr. J. Bruce,
Canada, for a draft conference statement, to be submitted to
the participants, i.e. top managers of national/global
change research programmes, senior scientists, policy-makers,
and senior government administrators.
SPOTLIGHTS ON SCIENCE
World Health Organization (WHO): The Advisory Committee on
Health Research
B.G. Mansourian, Director, Office of Research Policy and
Strategy Coordination, World Health Organization
Background
The birth of a formal research programme in WHO was marked
by the creation of an "Advisory Committee on Medical Research"
in 1959 (WHA12.17).
Several subsequent resolutions of the World Health Assembly
punctuated the history of WHO research and provided guidance
for its overall orientation.
Specific references to the ACMR (renamed Advisory Committee on
Health Research by a decision of the World Health Assembly in
1986) have been made in several resolutions, for example:
(i) requesting the Director General (a) to identify with the
ACMR a "list of scientific problems whose solution is of
particular importance for the Organization or where progress
is likely, (WHA28.70, 1975) and to (b) enhance the "role of
the ACMR in formulating and evaluating the effectiveness of
the Organization's long-term research programme, and improving
the constitutional utilization of expert committees in this
regard";
(ii) endorsing the emphasis on greater regional involvement in
research, with the active participation of regional Advisory
Committees on Medical Research (WHA30.40, 1977);
(iii) requesting the Director-General to involve "more closely
the Executive Board, Regional Committees as appropriate, and
the Advisory Committees on Medical Research in the formulation
of policy, the definition of priorities and evaluation of the
Organization's research activities".
Between 1980 and 1990, no less than 30 regional committee
resolutions on research and the ACHR system were adopted,
whereas the subject was periodically discussed at the
Executive Board and the World Health Assembly in the presence
of the ACHR Chairman.
The last resolution on record, WHA43.19, following the
Technical Discussions on the "Role of Health Research", deals
comprehensively with the subject, and requests the
Director-General to "use appropriate mechanisms, in close
collaboration with the global and regional Advisory Committees
on Health Research, to: a) assess new and emerging areas of
Science and Technology; b) investigate evolving problems of
critical significance to health; c) identify appropriate
methodologies for trend assessment and forecasting, including
epidemiology, to improve health,>.
Meetings
The Global ACHR is made up of 18 members, and a Chairman
appointed by the Director-General. The first meeting of the
Global ACHR was in July 1959 and the ACHR thereafter met
regularly once a year till 1986, after which it met every 2
years. The yearly meeting has now been restored with effect
from 1994. The ACHR system in between meetings has been
functioning through sub committees, task forces and working
groups. For example, during the last two decades, the Global
ACHR established subcommittees on Diarrhoeal Diseases, Mental
Health, Research Career Structures, Research Administration,
Health Services Research, Cancer, Working Groups on
Contribution of Modern Scientific Concepts and Methods to
Human Health, Diagnostic Tests for Use at Primary Health Care
Level and Immunodiagnosis Simplified, Enhancement of Transfer
of Technology to Developing Countries with Special Reference
to Health Care, Health Manpower Research, Health Research
Strategy for Health For All 2000, Research on Ageing, Economy
and Health, Research Capability Strengthening, Task Forces on
Health Development Research, on Science and Technology and on
Evolving Problems of Critical Significance to Health. Regional
ACHRs were created in 1976, although the PAHO ACHR has been in
existence since 1961.
Terms of Reference
The terms of reference of the global ACHR were reaffirmed
in 1994 as follows:
a) to advise the Director-General on the general orientation
of WHO's research;
b) to advise on the formulation of global priorities for
health research in the light of the policies set by the Health
Assembly and the Executive Board and on the basis of regional
priorities evolved in response to the health problems of the
countries;
c) to review research activities, monitor their execution and
evaluate their results, from the standpoint of scientific and
technical policy;
d) to formulate ethical criteria applicable to these research
activities; and
e) to take a prominent part in the harmonization of WHO's
research efforts as between the country, regional and inter
regional levels, and in their effective global synthesis.
At the regional level, the terms of reference are broadly
equivalent:
a) advising the Regional Director on formulation of policies
for the development of health research in the region, in
accordance with directives provided by the governing bodies
(WHA, EB and regional committees) and within the framework of
the global WHO policy. This formulation includes the
identification of national and regional priorities;
b) establishing mechanisms for coordinating research at
national, intra- and interregional levels;
c) development of the research potential and capability,
nationally and regionally;
d) harmonization of regional research activities with the
activities of other regions and headquarters, in close
collaboration with the global ACMR.
Priorities
Since 1976, the Global ACHR agreed on criteria for
selecting priority areas for WHO research efforts and these
criteria remain entirely valid:
a) the magnitude of the problem, especially in the developing
countries;
b) the suitability of the problems for international
collaborative research efforts coordinated by WHO;
c) the priority of the problem as perceived by individual
countries themselves;
d) the relevance of the problem to the socio-economic
development of Member States;
e) the probability of finding solutions (or important
clarifications) and the feasibility of applying them
nationally, including the time and costs required;
f) the availability of manpower, facilities and funds to carry
out the research to ensure as far as possible the achievement
of significant results;
g) the involvement of the countries themselves, especially
their scientific communities and facilities, in the research
efforts to be undertaken preferably where the problem exists,
so as to upgrade national research capabilities;
h) the level of ongoing research efforts, both nationally and
internationally, to solve the problem;
i) the benefits which would accrue from the application of the
results of successful research efforts, especially in the
developing countries;
j) the potential usefulness of the results of the research in
the solution of other problems.
Peer Review
In the first two decades of its existence, the ACHR regularly
reviewed virtually all the research components of WHO
programmes, advised the DG on deletions, additions, and
provided guidance on new frontiers for health research. The
ACHR incarnated WHO's research programmes such as Human
Reproduction Research (HRP), Tropical Diseases Research (TDR),
and contributed to the evolution of research components of
Mental Health, Diarrhoeal Diseases Control, Expanded Programme
on Immunization, Acute Respiratory Infections, Health Systems
Research, Health Manpower Development, etc. The Regional ACHR
system, in close collaboration with national medical research
councils, generally has been effective in promoting and
coordinating research activities in the regions, especially at
country level although efficiency of performance varies from
region to region.
The ACHR played the major and prominent role in organizing and
guiding the WHA's Technical Discussion in 1990 on "Role of
Health Research Strategy in the Strategy for Health for All in
the Year 2000", with the focus on Health Systems Research,
Research Capability Strengthening, Nutrition, and Biological
and Physical Sciences and Technology. The outcome of the
technical discussions was resolution WHA43.19 which inter
alia a) calls on Member States "to undertake essential
health research appropriate to national needs ... and
strengthen national research capabilities ...", b) urges
bilateral and multilateral development agencies,
non-governmental organizations, foundations, regional
organizations "to increase support for essential health
research", c) invites the research community "to increase its
commitment towards the development of essential health
research ...", d) requests the Director-General "to use
appropriate mechanisms in close collaboration with the global
and regional ACHR, (i) to assess new and emerging areas of
science and technology, investigate evolving problems of
critical significance to health, (ii) identify appropriate
methodologies for trend assessment and forecasting including
epidemiology to improve health, iii) to develop further a
clearly enunciated health research strategy for WHO in order
to translate research goals, priorities and programmes into
coherent and coordinated action in support of health for all
...".
Recent Trends
In addressing the task in d (iii) above, the ACHR drew on
the work of its own Task Forces and Sub committees namely, the
Task Force on Science and Technology, the Task Force on Health
Development Research, the Task Force on Evolving Problems of
Critical Significance to Health, the Sub committee on Health
and the Economy and the Sub committee on Research Capability
Strengthening. The ACHR considered that although the Health
Research Strategy proposed in 1988 is a valid cornerstone of
WHO's research strategy, new dimensions should be added to
give proper emphasis to infrastructural, economic,
environmental and behavioural aspects. The revised strategy
focused on the relevance of economic environment to health;
global problems and global solutions; health research and
human development; science and technology policies; the
emergence of new ethical issues; and research capability
strengthening in developing countries. It further emphasized
the context in which health research is to be developed:
a world in transition; the changing scene of science and
technology; and the importance of identifying research needs
on the basis of health needs. Research capability
strengthening at country level is badly needed, and
international cooperation in the field of research must be
further developed especially in the context of limited
resources, that makes it necessary to carefully define health
research priorities. A resume of the report has been published
in World Health Bulletin, 1994, 72(4): 533538.
In June 1994, the ACHR, in collaboration with CIOMS, organized
a colloquium in Charlottesville, USA, on "The Impact of
Advances in Science and Technology on Future Health". The
objectives of the colloquium were: to review the new
developments in science that could have significant impact on
health and the attainment of national and global health goals
and programmes; and to identify trends, potentials for
applications of the advances in research, and thus contribute
to the updating of the WHO research strategy. The proceedings
of this colloquium were published in 1995.
Current Plans
A major on-going activity of the ACHR is the development,
in cooperation with regional ACHRs, of a "Research Agenda to
support the Renewed Health for All Strategy of WHO" aimed at
the improvement of health conditions and health services. This
"Research Agenda" is to be presented at the World Health
Assembly in 1998.
The new research policy and agenda will build on previous ACHR
efforts. Of special relevance to the new global efforts are 2
documents:"Research for Health: Principles, Perspectives and
Strategies" published in 1993 and "The Impact of Scientific
Advances on Future Health" prepared and published in
collaboration with CIOMS in 1995. In addition, the ACHR system
will be utilizing modern communication technology to establish
a, planning network, with a view to building up a consensus on
scientific and technological priorities. The principal areas
of concern are: a) health conditions of the individual; b)
health care systems; c) environment and health; d) social
behaviour; and e) nutrition.
The research agenda will also deal with improving linkages
between academic and research institutions in different parts
of the world, stressing a new commitment of the "science and
technology of the North" towards problems in the "South". It
should also facilitate communication of research findings much
more directly from research institutions to decision makers.
Therefore, the ACHR will do its best to sensitize the key
science and technology organizations to global health issues,
including the Academies of Sciences, the Council for
International Organizations of Medical Sciences (CIOMS), the
International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU), University
Associations, etc.
Appendix
SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY
Research for health: principles, perspectives and
strategies, WHO/RPD/ACHR/HRS/93, 1993.
Societal systems, technology and health, E.O. Attinger, 1988,
WHO/RPD/TEK/88.
Health research strategy, Report of a Sub committee of the
Advisory Committee on Health Research, 1986,
WHO/RPD/ACHR(HRS)/86.
Enhancement of transfer of technology to developing countries
with special reference to health, Report of a Subcommittee of
the ACHR, 1987, WHO/RPD/ ACHR(TT)/87.
The impact of scientific advances on future health - A WHO-
CIOMS colloquium, Charlottesville, Virginia, 20-24 June 1994,
1995, WHO / RPS / ACHR-CIOMS / 95.
Research strategies for health, based on the Technical
Discussions at the 43rd World Health Assembly on the "Role of
health research in the strategy for health for all by the year
2000", edited by A.M. Davies and B.P. Mansourian, Hogrefe &
Huber Publishers, Lewiston, NY, 1992 (ISBN 0-88937-083-4, ISBN
3-45682162-X).
Health technology transfer: Whose responsibility? - XXIIlrd
CIOMS Round Table Conference, Geneva, Switzerland, 2-3
November 1989, CIOMS, 1990.
The use of videotex networks for health system support: the
example of Sao Paulo, Brazil, llana Fogelman and Eduardo O.C.
Chaves, August 1988.
Research Methods for Health Development, RPD/SOC/85.
Mapping health indicators, WHO/RPD/MAP/87.
Reports of ACHR meetings (since 1959).
Reports of all ACHR Subcommittees and Task Forces
Energy and Wastes: From Plutonium to Carbon Dioxide
W.S. Fyfe, President International Union of Geological
Sciences (lugs)
Introduction
The growth of population and the local quality of life are
related to many of our modern technologies. However, there is
no question that the availability of low cost energy is a
dominant component of our life support system. If one examines
energy use and development, the numbers speak for themselves
(e.g. energy per capita, kg oil equivalent units, Ethiopia 21,
Pakistan 223, Mexico 1525, Germany 4358, see Kursten,
1996).
At the present time, fossil carbon fuels (coal-oil-gas)
dominate our energy systems but, of these, only coal has
reliable reserves exceeding two hundred years. Nuclear energy
accounts for about 7% of world energy but, in Europe, nuclear
energy produces 35% of electricity (in France, 77%). As
recently stated by Capus and Rongeau (1996), "despite the
attempts of a few opponents to demonstrate its uselessness,
nuclear power should remain as a major component of the energy
mix, as is suggested by all the major studies conducted on the
subject."
When one examines the needs for energy of the next century
with a population of 10-12 billion humans, the options are
clear. While many nations waste energy, most of the future
inhabitants will need much more. There is no doubt that coal
will be a major fuel for decades to come; many nations see the
need for increased nuclear technology for decades to come. The
potential for hydro-power in a world with critical water
resource problems (see Postal, 1992) is very limited, and
hydropower is not benign. It is almost certain that coal, and
nuclear systems will bridge the gap to the ultimate
sustainable resources from the Sun and the deep Earth
(geothermal energy).
With nuclear technologies there are many concerns; but the
problem of managing nuclear wastes is with us now and will not
go away. As was recently stressed by Pease and Roberts (1996),
there is enough plutonium on the Earth's surface today to make
more than 200 thousand nuclear bombs! In the next decades the
world will spend 10's of billions of dollars on nuclear waste
isolation (or transmutation) and it is one problem where we
cannot afford mistakes.
However, as far as coal technology is concerned, coal use will
certainly expand for the next decades, and there are problems
of even greater magnitude. While attention tends to be focused
on greenhouse carbon dioxide, there are a host of other
problems, including acid rain, metal pollution, ash disposal
and, as some coals are rich in halogens (F-CI-Br-I), even
ozone-destroying C-halogen compounds. The huge mining
operations, which move 510 km^3 of materials per year, can
cause massive problems with ground water pollution.
Scientists and technologists must face the ultimate question
of how to develop environmentally acceptable, economically
viable, energy resources for 10 billion humans living well.
Nuclear Waste Management - Isolation
It is generally agreed that the nuclear wastes produced
from the common types of reactors must be isolated from the
biosphere for minimal times in the range of 10^4 - 10^6 years,
and the longer the better. And it is agreed that isolation
must be in repositories deep in the crust.
In 1978, ICSU formed a small group to consider the nuclear
waste problems of that time (see Fyfe et al, 1984); Harrison,
1984). In 1993, another group from the lugs, IUPAC, with
members from Sweden, France, Holland, Germany, U.S.A., Japan,
Russia, Canada and UNESCO, was formed, to review more recent
developments. In 1997, at the annual meeting of the European
Union of Geological Sciences, in Strasbourg, the group will
convene a special symposium on the problem.
What are the major issues? At a recent meeting in Paris, with
the French programme, (Agence nationale pour la gestion des
d'echets radioactifs, ANDRA) convened by Dr. Andre-Jehan, the
head of their International Affairs office, Dr. Pierre Barber,
confirmed the feeling of the ICSU group that nuclear waste
disposal is an international problem, not a national one. Who
knows who will live where in 10,000 years time? There is also
general agreement that we cannot afford a mistake - we must
strive to find the best solutions.
In terms of waste management, the "million year concept" is
new. It should not be, since wastes like lead, mercury,
cadmium, arsenic do not decay with time.
Is it possible to isolate delicate, dangerous materials for
millions of years? The answer is positive, Nature has shown us
how to do it, and where. The use of natural analogues is the
key to gaining public acceptance for any isolation concept. As
examples, we have oil and gas preserved in rocks for 10's of
millions of years; we have salt deposits over 100 millions
years old. We have potential container materials (e.g. copper)
which have remained virtually uncorroded for a billion
years.
The questions our group faces include the following:
- What is the influence of climate fluctuations?
- What is the influence of topography?
- How important are "geophysical" parameters like heat flow?
- Is the sea bed an option?
- Is the nuclear material itself a potential resource: should
we consider retrievable storage?
- Is transmutation of long-lived dangerous radio-nuclides
possible?
- What is the influence of the deep biosphere microorganisms
at over 4 km depth?
- What are the best packaging and mining technologies - for
this is not mining - it is antimining (putting away - not
taking out)?
Nuclear waste isolation is possible, but the search for the
"best place" is not simple (e.g. the Yucca Mountain fiasco,
fig. 1). While there may be ideal places in the sea bed, the
problem is the control of such sites. At least on land, we and
our descendants must live with it!
The scene at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, USA, a proposed nuclear
waste disposal site where billions of dollars have been spent.
The dark hills are very young volcanoes (10,000 years old). As
stated by Holland and Petersen (1995) "if a volcanic vent were
to cut directly through the repository... the consequences
could be disastrous. Although the probability of such an event
is very small, it is not zero".
Given electricity from solar and nuclear sources, we do
not need to kill our cities with combustion gas and smog. The
electric vehicle is possible and, as we read and see every
day, the state of the atmosphere of the mega-cities is
becoming intolerable.
Coal will be used for decades into the future to produce the
needed electricity. Can we dispose of the gases, (CO2',
NOx', SOx', C-halogens) underground? There is growing world
interest in the disposal of such gases in subterranean
environments. Very soon, the American Chemical Society will
hold a major symposium on CO2 disposal. The carbon cycle in
nature is ultimately dominated by reactions which fix CO2 by
reactions with Ca-Mg-Fe silicates. There is hope!
Conclusion
Given the increase in human population and the rising
expectations of the quality of life, there will be, must be,
vast development of Earth resources of all types, if there is
to be a prospect of hope for all people. We must integrate
knowledge from the Earth Sciences into all technological
planning over the next decades, to avoid environmental and
economic disasters. In many cases of the use of resources, we
require new and improved technologies, with reduced
environmental impact. We need new teams, since most of the
critical world problems (energy, food, water, waste
management) require a very broad range of integrated
expertise.
Planet Earth is not fragile. We have had life here for about 4
billion years, and we have never boiled or totally frozen.
This planet has remarkable buffer systems. In general, life
has survived fluctuations and
catastrophic events of many types. We have had prolific
microorganisms, and we now know that the biosphere may extend
to depths of several kilometers, which may partly explain its
survival. Nevertheless, the species Homo sapiens is
fragile. We have developed incredible systems for our life
support, but many of those in present use are not sustainable,
and some have the potential to destroy our species and many
others.
We need new systems, new technologies, to use our energy,
water, soil, mineral, resources with greater wisdom. We must
learn to reduce, use, and manage our waste products with
greater care.
References
Capus, G., & Rongeau, J.P. 1996. The role of nuclear power
today and in the future, (in Kursten), 1996, 109-120.
Freeze, R.A. & Cherry, J.A. 1979. Groundwater, Prentice Hall,
Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey. 604 pp.
Fyfe, W.S., Babuska, V., Price, N.J.,Schmid, E., Tsang, C.F.,
Uyeda, S. & Velde, B. 1984. The geology of nuclear waste
disposal. Nature, 310, 537-540.
Harrison, J.M. 1984. Disposal of radioactive wastes, Science,
226, 11-14.
Holland, H.D., & Petersen, U. 1995. Living Dangerously,
Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, 490 pp.
Kursten, M. (Editor) 1996. World Energy, a Changing Scene,
E. Schweizerbart'sche Verlagsbuchandlung, Stuttgart, 227
pp.
Pease, S., & Roberts, L., 1996. Bombs to Kilowatts: The
plutonium problem. Science and Public Affairs, The Royal
Society London, Spring, 1996, 29-32.
Postal, S., 1992. Last oasis - facing water scarcity. W.W.
Norton and co., New York, 230 pp.
Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems
Vladislav Kotchetkov
This is one of the most exiting scientific projects so far
with regards to its ambitions, scientific potential involved
and the expected results. The Encyclopedia is supposed to be
one of the largest sources of human knowledge ever to be
compiled. Dr. Darwish Al Gobaisi, the Editor-in -Chief of the
encyclopedia, outlines its objectives in the following way:
"The Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems- EOLSS -will
represent a comprehensive, authentic, authoritative, organized
and integrated body of knowledge of the science, technology
and management of life support systems development and use. It
is a future-oriented document designed to have a major impact
upon professional practice and education and to heighten
social awareness of critical life support issues. The EOLSS...
will be broadly useful in humanistic endeavors that result in
the development of remedial measures for issues that have a
potentially destabilizing effect on the global environment"
The encyclopedia project started two years ago with its focus
on water desalination. However, it soon became obvious that
the encyclopedia of water desalination, however important it
was, had to be addressed to a narrow audience and, therefore,
provided a limited impact on the solution of the urgent
problems confronting the humanity. These considerations led to
the substantial enlargement of the scope of the encyclopedia
with the inclusion of water, energy, environment, and global
food security problems. All the mentioned issues were
structured within the context of global change and sustainable
development. Science and technology policies for development
of life support systems, with their economic, human, social
and cultural implications also had due coverage in the
EOLSS.
The encyclopedia is organized in six major areas. The systems
of Water, Energy, Environment, and Food and Agriculture
comprise the four major components of the total Earth system
concerned with the support of the life. They will cover all
important aspects of resources, demand, conservation, policies
and technologies, demographic impact, interplay, as well as
metrics and indices. The fifth major area covers Common
Science and Technology which cut across the four natural
resources areas. The mathematical, physical, chemical and
biological sciences which are generally applicable to the life
support systems, as well as such applied fields as
mathematical modeling, artificial intelligence, information
and communications technologies, mechanical engineering and
others are represented in this important area of the EOLSS.
The most complex one is the sixth major area dealing with
Global Issues. It will analyze the world as an integrated
multi-level system and describe the comprehensive problem of
global change with its demographic, environmental, climatic,
biological, technological, economic and social components.
This part of the encyclopedia will also deal with the global
health issue, including that of emerging and re-emerging
diseases, which, according to some predictions, might soon be
one of the flash points of human existence in the next
century. The international security, in its global sense,
which arises from the interaction and interplay between
elements of basic natural and human-engineered resource
systems, like global environment security, energy security,
food and fresh water supply security, are to be discussed in
this part of the EOLSS. Education for sustainable development
for the XXI century, as well as the ethics of science, is
another important theme which will appear in this part.
Systems analysis and system engineering methods will be
applied for the analysis of interaction and interplay between
four major natural systems.
The organization of the subject matter in each area of the
EOLSS is to be thematic, with each theme being divided into
several topics and each topic comprising a number of articles,
so the user is guided logically through the body of knowledge
to levels of increasing depth and diversity. The information
in all six major areas of the Encyclopedia will be considered
from a historical perspective, extending from the origin to
the current state of understanding. The existing trends,
foresight and prospective will also be included in order to
satisfy diverse interests of the encyclopedia users. The EOLSS
is designed to the following major target audiences:
university students in the four resource areas and those
receiving their education in other areas but who intend to
work jointly with the professionals in life support areas.
Senior academics interested in the subject areas covered and
in their interaction and interplay. Practitioners associated
with the major resource areas covered by the EOLSS or those
who provide technical support in the acquisition of life
support systems. Researchers who wish to acquire knowledge in
the related fields. Managers at all levels, policy makers and
parliamentaries who need to obtain overview knowledge of the
principles, practices and perspectives in the encyclopedia's
subjects. And last but not least, the self-educating persons
concerned with the preservation and improvement of the life on
the Earth. The idea of the Encyclopedia of Life Support
Systems is gathering the support of an unprecedented number of
renowned scientists world-wide. Among the members of its Board
of International Advisers are the Nobel Laureates N. Basov, G.
Charpak, P. Crutzen, R.Ernst, K. Fukui, L. Klein, J.
Lederberg, L. Lederman, Yuan T. Lee, J.M. Lehn, 1. Prigogin,
B. Richter, Chen Ning Yang, senior officials from UNESCO, WMO,
WHO, World Bank, ICSU, IUCN, IIASA, TWAS, WIS - L. Albou, A.
Badran, J.C.I. Dooge, S. Golytsyn, H. Grassl, D. McDowell, P.
Mansourian, I. Sergeldin, from the national academies of
sciences - F. Gros, Yu. Osipov, G. Marchuk, Dai Ruwei and many
outstanding scientists such as, for example, R. Chandler, Lin
Qun, J. Lions, M.S. Swaminatan, T. Ohta, M. Tolba and many
others.
More than 2.000 experts from developed and developing
countries have formulated their proposals for the
encyclopedia. The important scientific teams in the USA,
Russia, China, Japan and Europe were involved in the
development of the independent proposals for the overall list
of contents of the EOLSS. Such parallel efforts have ensured
the inclusion of a variety of approaches to global problems
which characterize the various schools of thoughts. A workshop
attended by 130 members of the International Editorial Council
of the EOLSS was held in Washington, DC, during 26-28 January
1996 to unify the proposals for the EOLSS body of knowledge
received from the expert groups and individuals. The
integrated list of contents was then reviewed at the national
workshops organized in Russia, China and Japan, as well as by
the scientists from France and Mexico during March 1996. The
final discussion of the list of contents of the EOLSS was the
focus of the Bahamas workshop that took place from 28 April to
4 May 1996 with the participation of nearly 400 eminent
experts from every corner of the world. The discussions were
organized in twelve parallel working groups, two groups for
each of six areas, as well as in joint sessions and in the
plenary meetings. This process established a basis for the
definition of the integrated, penultimate, and eventually the
final list of contents of the Encyclopedia of Life Support
Systems.
The Configuration Control Board (CCB) - the major managerial
body of EOLSS -was responsible for the organization of the
described process of the development of the list of contents
of the EOLSS. The further major concern of CCB is to organize
the invitation of the authors and to ensure the highest
scientific standards of excellence of the prepared materials.
Another important and more difficult task is to ensure the
cultural diversity of approaches to the discussed problems and
to transcend the constraints of the rationalistic and
anthropocentric basis of the 'rich countries-oriented'
culture. We should never forget the words of Denis Goulet,
development philosopher, who wrote: "It is discomforting for a
sophisticated technical expert from a rich country to learn
that men who live on the margin of subsistence and daily flirt
with death and insecurity are sometimes capable of greater
happiness, wisdom, and human communion than he is,
notwithstanding his knowledge, wealth, and technical
superiority"
The EOLSS Publishers Company Ltd, that was established in the
historic town of Kingston upon Thames in south-west London in
January 1996, is planning to produce the encyclopedia both in
the form of bound volumes, of which there will be
approximately sixty, and in CD-ROM format. The possibility of
making the EOLSS accessible as a virtual encyclopedia through
the Internet is also under consideration. The first volumes of
the EOLSS are expected to be published by the end 1997. In
addition to the publication of the encyclopedia, EOLSS
Publishers plan to issue other material, both books and
journals, related to the areas covered by the encyclopedia,
together with annual updates of the EOLSS itself.
A Comprehensive Freshwater Assessment
Gunilia Bjorklund,
In the UNCED process, including at the Dublin conference, the
global concern over freshwater was expressed and was
manifested in the Dublin statement. The most extensive chapter
of Agenda 21, agreed at UNCED in Rio 1992, is the freshwater
chapter, Chapter 18. There are links to water issues in other
chapters of Agenda 21 as well, for instance in Chapter 17, the
chapter on Oceans, all kinds of seas, and coastal areas. And
there exist cross references in the Land Chapters even though
water and land are not integrated the way we would like to see
them.
The UN Commission for Sustainable Development, CSD, is
designated to follow up progress in implementing the Rio
decisions as decided by the General Assembly. This is done
periodically for chapters dealing with Social and Economic
Dimensions and those dealing with Conservation and Management
of Resources for Development. Chapter 18, the "Freshwater
Chapter", was one of those on the CSD-agenda at the 1994
session for reviewing, together with the Chapters on Human
Health and on Human Settlement Development
The need for a holistic and more comprehensive approach in
dealing with water resources and water problems made the CSD
then, based on results at the Noordwijk Conference on Drinking
Water Supply and Environmental Sanitation a ministerial
conference that also served as a preparatory process for the
second session of CSD, 1994, call for "a comprehensive
assessment of freshwater resources, with the aim of
identifying the availability of such resources, making
projections of future needs, and identifying problems to be
considered by the special session of the General Assembly in
1997." The CSD urged UNEP, FAO, UNIDO, WHO, WMO, UNESCO, UNDP,
the World Bank and other relevant UN bodies, as well as NGOs,
to strengthen their efforts in this endeavour. The CSD also
invited Governments to co-operate actively with inputs to the
process, specifically identifying the Government of Sweden.
The Stockholm Environment Institute was commissioned by the
Swedish Government to actively work in the project. A Steering
Committee for the project was formed, consisting of relevant
UN-organisations, cochaired by the Secretary of the UN ACC
Subcommittee on Water Resources and the Director of SEl. The
Secretary of the Steering Committee is the Executive Secretary
of the SEI Comprehensive Freshwater Assessment programme.
The ongoing work consists of different parts. It will be
presented in a main report, accompanied by supporting
documents, including special studies, giving the detailed
background information. The main report will consist of four
different parts:
- a description of the availability, quality and variability
of freshwater resources of the world, as well as their use.
The description will deal with surface water as well as ground
water. It will elucidate the issue of driving forces, as well
as existing problem cluster areas;
- an investigation of current and future water needs that must
be faced at the river basin level, be it local, national or
international;
- strategies and options for the concerted sustainable
development of freshwater resources of the world.
The work within the Assessment has proceeded according to
estimated schedule. An extensive background document, that
will serve as a rationale and also give the background to the
assessment has been prepared and will be edited to be
published.
Part 1 of the main report is a shared responsibility between
SEI and the UN and it is now in preparation. It exists in
draft form. It will give the background and the rationale,
"set the scene", for the rest of the assessment and also
indicate where new strategies will be needed.
Part 2, where the UN-agencies have the main responsibility
with WMO and UNESCO as task managers, is almost finalised. An
expert group consisting of the agency representatives and key
international scientists and research organisations has met
twice. The experts, including the UN-experts, have provided
existing data and background material on water availability
and use, for the agricultural, industrial and domestic
sectors, surface water as well as ground water, and water
quality including health aspects. Time constraints makes it
necessary to use existing data even though data are not always
of good quality or may even be lacking. This is particularly
true when it comes to water quality data. The material is
compiled into an extensive background document that is now
being edited. Based on this extensive background material a
draft of the chapter for the final report now exists in a
final draft.
Part 3 to a certain extent takes its point of departure in
part 2 as this part will deal with the future, indicated by
scenarios. It is, however important to mention that neither
chapter 2 nor chapter 3 will give detailed data, country by
country for all countries in the world but merely
regional-wise.
Within the work on part 3, where SEI is the task manager, a
workshop has been held. At the workshop experts from the UN-
system, in their personal capacity, as well as independent
experts, discussed water futures and different scenarios from
regional and sectoral perspectives. The outcome of this
workshop together with scenario applications will form the
basis for the chapter and the background report to go with it.
The background report exists in a first draft. The chapter to
be in the final report exists in an outline and is now in
preparation.
Parts 2 and 3 will form the basis for part 4, which will be an
important part of the report, from the political point of view
the most important part. Discussions on structure and outline
of that part have started and a workshop at which different
policy options, existing as well as future, were discussed by
UNagency representatives and eminent experts from different
parts of the world, took place 18-19 May. A draft of the
chapter, that needs to build on chapters 1-3, the outcome of
the workshop, and other documentation of the project including
commissioned papers, will be prepared during the summer.
All foreseen commissioned, special topic, papers are well
under way, though at different stages. A paper on
"International Freshwater Resources: From Conflicts to Co-
operation" exists in a first draft, has been discussed during
a seminar this spring and is now under revision based on
comments at the seminar and other comments. The same goes for
a paper on "Water and Gender". Other papers, such as one on
"Water and Economics" and one on "Urban Water Resources
Management" exist in outline and will, when ready in a more
complete form, be presented at seminars later this year.
So far information sessions at governmental level have been
held at the UN Desertification
Convention negotiations, at the WMO/IDB Latin American Water
Assessment conference, and during luncheon meetings at the
CSD. A presentation was also made during the Water Dialogue at
Habitat II in Istanbul in June. The Assessment was also on the
agenda at the last GEF/STAP meeting in June as Global
Freshwater issues are important in the GEF Focal Area
"International Waters". A process for an intergovernmental
review is currently discussed but no decision taken as yet.
The Assessment was also discussed by the Committee of Natural
Resources, according to the CSD recommendation. Further
scientifical reviews will be performed by the ICSU/SCOWAR, the
World Water Council, the Technical Advisory Committee for the
Global Water Partnership, and other fora. A special Working
Group at the Stockholm Water Symposium is also devoted to the
issues. This "participatory process" is an important part of
the Assessment process.
Executive Secretary, CFWA Stockholm Environment Institute Box
2142 S-103 14 Stockholm, SWEDEN Te1:+46-8-24 84 41
The Star of Tolerance - an object lesson for astronomy
D. McNally, Chairman ICSU Working Group on Adverse
Environmental Impacts on Astronomy, University of London
Observatory
The "Star of Tolerance" is a an object lesson in how the
science of astronomy could be adversely affected by an
apparently unrelated activity. Astronomy, unlike other
sciences, cannot restrict access to its laboratory - we
observe through the Earth's atmosphere which we share with the
whole of mankind and, our Space Borne Observatories share
outer space with other satellites and an increasing amount of
space debris. The activities of others, especially in respect
of the local production of strong electromagnetic radiation
(e.g. light, radio transmissions), can have considerable
adverse impact on our observations.
The "Star of Tolerance" was proposed as a way of celebrating
the 50th birthday of UNESCO. UNESCO has achieved much in its
half century and its achievements should be a source of
considerable pride. The "Star of Tolerance" was to be a pair
of balloons, one of 50 m diameter and the other of 30 km
diameter made of reflecting material, kept together by a 2 km
tether. On launch the "Star" would attain an orbital height of
1250 km and was expected to be about as bright as the star
Sirius. It would have the appearance of a double star as
observed in the twilight sky. It also had the capability to
transmit messages at radio wavelengths and have the capability
to initiate terrestrial events such as turning on
floodlighting of buildings, etc. After a projected four year
lifetime, it would be deorbited and burn up in the Earth's
atmosphere. This was a very striking, highly visible and
imaginative way to mark the achievements of UNESCO it must be
admitted. Fortunately, for astronomy, UNESCO decided not to
proceed with this project.
Why fortunately for astronomy? The "Star" of itself would not
have been a disaster for astronomy. Clearly to have an object
as bright as Sirius possibly at times as bright as Jupiter -
crossing the sky at regular intervals, and not always in the
twilight, would be an irritating hazard for astronomy. It
would impose a series of changing no-go areas of sky. An
accidental crossing of a sensitive detector by such a bright
object could, in principle, do serious and costly damage to
the detector. In orbit at a height of 1250 km, the lifetime of
the "Star" would have been over 1000 years. It is accepted
that tethers are particularly sensitive to damage from space
debris. Were the tether to be broken at least some parts of
the "Star" would not be capable of deorbiting and remain a
hazard for astronomy for in excess of 1000 years. Damage to
the "Star" by collision with space debris could result in the
production of many reflecting fragments which would become a
long term unpredictable hazard to astronomical observation,
again for in excess of 1000 years. There is also reasonable
doubt that the deorbiting of a system which contained a tether
would be successful. These very real concerns might be
considered as acceptable hazard for a one off situation.
However, the real objection to the proposal was the precedent
it would set. If UNESCO launched the "Star of Tolerance", the
launch of bigger, and so brighter, solar reflectors designed
to promote less laudible causes would be seen to have received
the seal of approval from the world's premier cultural,
scientific and educational institution. Solar reflectors would
be launched in quantity, advertising from space would be a
fact. That would be disastrous for astronomy at all
wavelengths. For optical astronomy reflected sunlight from the
advertising satellites would brighten the sky to at least
several times that produced by the Full Moon - the Moon
brightens the sky to such an extent that deep sky astronomy
(e.g. cosmologically relevant observations) cannot be
undertaken for two weeks (centered on Full Moon) during each
lunation (approximately four weeks). Development of space
advertising would surely lead to an increasingly bright night
sky which could well compromise any attempt to undertake
observations at optical wavelengths. For radio astronomy,
radio transmissions from such reflecting satellites would be
yet another contribution to electromagnetic noise - already a
serious problem. That UNESCO could consider such a plan, full
of disastrous consequences for astronomy, was a horrendous
realisation for astronomers. UNESCO, had, in the recent past,
materially assisted the IAU in its endeavours to make known
the deleterious consequences for astronomy of many of our
current practices of daily life: in plain terms, - the demands
of "civilisation" conflict with the requirements of good
conditions for astronomical observation. Yet UNESCO itself was
seriously considering a proposal which would have led to
serious damage to astronomical science. Fortunately UNESCO did
not proceed - a very courageous decision warmly received by
the astronomical community.
Astronomy must exercise great vigilance to become aware of
these threats. In many cases the threat is only perceived
after the event, as with outdoor lighting schemes - an
observatory may not find out about, a new outdoor lighting
scheme if the local planners do not see the possible effect on
the observatory. There is a need for sustained public
relations exercises to reinforce how exposed the science of
astronomy is to unintentioned interference - even by our best
of friends. We escaped this time. We had inspired advocates.
But astronomy needs more than good luck and the quick reaction
of inspired advocates. If the ,"Star of Tolerance" teaches us
anything, it emphasises that the science of astronomy must
quickly put in place a permanent mechanism to identify, and
react to, any activity which leads to degradation of the
opportunities to observe the cosmos.
SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY FOR DEVELOPMENT
News from COSTED-IBN
Veena Ravichandran, Senior Scientific Officer, COSTED-IBN,
Madras
COSTED-LINKS Programme Launched
A new programme called the COSTED-Links has been launched in
the Asian region. The programme aims at fostering links
between COSTED and R & D institutions in the public and
private corporate sectors in the developing Asian countries.
The programme owes its uniqueness to the fact that this is the
first deliberate attempt by COSTED to take advantage of the
enormous scientific and technical expertise resident in the
corporate sectors. At the same time, the corporate sectors
will derive advantage from the information base available
within COSTED pertaining to S & T activities and programmes
around the world and in particular the developing countries.
COSTED aims to serve as a clearing house with regard to the
science and technology information needs of developing
countries.
Having developed considerable experience over the past several
years in a variety of activities relating to promotion of
science and technology including S & T education, it is only
appropriate that the new COSTED activities pertain to the
emerging global scenario. Given the liberalisation of national
economies in a number of developing countries it is necessary
that economic growth be linked to innovative applications of
science through technology. The time is therefore ripe to
associate the public and private sector R & D agencies in the
various COSTED fora. This view has been enthusiastically
endorsed by the COSTED Executive Committee at its last meeting
in August 1995 held in Mexico city. This programme is a
follow-up of the recommendations of the committee.
The COSTED-Links programme is essentially an exercise of
understanding and assessment of mutual strengths and
capabilities of the scientific communities and the industrial
sectors and identification of areas for cooperation. In its
present form, it covers the Asian region and is expected to
serve as a model for the other COSTED regional secretariats
for similar initiatives in their respective regions. There has
been a very enthusiastic response to the programme and date
more than 25 private and public sector agencies have enrolled
as COSTED- Links members. A nominal membership fee of
Rs.10,000 per annum (approximately $300) entitles the members
to a concessional price for COSTED publications, access to
information on COSTED activities and the ICSU family, an
invitation to COSTED events of contemporary and emerging
importance as well as use of the Library of International
Scientific Information at the COSTED-IBN Madras Secretariat,
which will shortly be inaugurated. The library is expected to
provide special information services for the Links members on
request. In addition, members are also entitled to use other
facilities at the COSTEDIBN Madras Secretariat, such as the
conference hall and the conference room for holding national,
regional and international events of academic interest. A
quarterly information bulletin is being published to
disseminate information on the activities of the Links
programme. Periodic meetings of all the members are envisaged
to evaluate the programme from time to time.
COSTED-INCASR Fellowship Programme
Another new initiative by the Central COSTED Secretariat, the
COSTED-Jawaharlal Nehru Centre for Advanced Scientific
Research (JNCASR) Fellowship Programme was launched in April
this year. The programme upholds the ICSU philosophy of
encouraging the development and sharing of the benefits of
science across geographic borders. The fellowship aims to
foster free mobility and exchange of scientists In developing
countries and to promote South South cooperation. The JNCASR,
operating under the direction of Prof. C.N.R.Rao, FRS, is a
centre of excellence, located in Bangalore, India and
essentially works through close partnership with several
reputed scientific institutions in the country. The generous
offer by JNCASR in hosting the programme has been instrumental
in operationalising this initiative.
Under this programme, up to 10 fellowships are offered per
annum to young and active scientists below 45 years to
work up to 3 months at the JNCASR in Bangalore, India, in
selected areas in the physical, chemical and biological
sciences. The programme is open to scientists, researchers and
teachers from the developing countries in the Asian, African,
Arab and Latin American regions (except India). The fellowship
covers lodging and boarding expenses in addition to a few
travel grants for exceptionally meritorious candidates. The
programme is already evoking enthusiastic response from
developing countries the world over. Further details and
application procedure for this programme are available on
request from the Scientific Secretary, COSTED-IBN
International Secretariat, 24 Gandhi Mandap Road, Madras 600
025, India; Fax No. 91-44-4914543/ 4911589/944444; E-mail:
costed@sirnetm.ernet.in
Cooperation with UNESCO
A contract was established with UNESCO for the provision
of travel grants to young scientists from the South and
Central Asian region. This will enable them to take part in
scientific meetings and workshops and to undertake short
visits for specific research work.
In addition, financial support has been provided by UNESCO for
the publication of the quarterly newsletter COSTED News which
is devoted to encouraging and promoting active cooperation in
the development of science and technology among institutions
in the neighbouring countries. UNESCO is also supporting a few
specific activities in biosciences organised by the regional
COSTED-IBN Secretariats this year.
New National members for COSTED-IBN
Following a renewed attempt at enrolling new National
Members, Brazil has joined the membership of COSTED-IBN.
Brazil has set an outstanding record as the highest
contributor of national membership dues so far. Further
additions to the membership are expected.
PUBLICATIONS NEWS
History of ICSU
Frank Greenaway
This book, Science International, is the first history of a
worldwide organisation of scientists, now involving thousands
of participants, which was started a century ago when a few
visionaries rounded the international Association of Academies
(1899-1919). This was succeeded by an International Research
Council (1919-1932), which, in 1932, became the International
Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU). The initiative to have an
international arena for scientists survived two global wars,
as well as immense political, economic, and social change in
the 20th century. This history describes how national
scientific academies as well as International Unions of
scientists from specific disciplines learned to work together.
From these alliances sprang great cooperative projects such as
the International Geophysical Year and the International
Biological Programme. Today ICSU is a global scientific
organisation directed to the study of the entire planet and
prospects for the human race.
This detailed account will appeal to researchers in the
history of science who are interested in the organisational
aspects of science in the 20th century, and to professional
scientists working in the service of science on a national or
international level. This publication is expected to be
available by the end of September and the retail price will be
approximately 40 or US $60.
1995 Annual Report of ICSU
This yearly publication consists of a brief annual report
of ICSU's central activities, the report of the 1995 meeting
of the General Committee, the 1995 Financial Statements and
brief reports from Union Members, Interdisciplinary Bodies,
and Scientific Associates, on activities which took place
during the year. The book is distributed free-of-charge to the
members of the ICSU family. Copies may be obtained from the
ICSU Secretariat in Paris.
NEWS IN BRIEF
Summary of the Ninth Meeting of the OECD Megascience Forum
Stefan Michalowski, OECD
The OECD Megascience Forum held its ninth meeting on June 27
and 28 in Paris. This was the second meeting under the new
mandate that was approved by the OECD Science Ministers in the
Fall of 1995. The Ministers authorised the Forum to establish
working groups to address specific problems and issues in
international megascience cooperation. At the ninth Forum
meeting, representatives of twenty-six Member countries, the
European Commission, and two Observer nations, reviewed the
progress of the existing working groups, and decided to
further broaden the scope of the Forum's activity.
The Forum's Working Group on Neutron Sources, which is lead by
the United Kingdom, reported on the results of its first
meeting and the establishment of technical panels that will
consider opportunities for international cooperation in three
key areas:
(1) upgrading and refurbishing of existing neutron sources;
(2) R&D for a new generation of high-intensity sources; and
(3) neutron scattering instrumentation.
The U.S.-lead Working Group on Large-Scale Biological
Information Systems informed the delegates that it has formed
subgroups to enhance international coordination in two fields:
biodiversity and neuroscience. In addition, a subgroup (lead
by France) is focusing on ethical and intellectual property
issues in bioinformatics.
Delegates also considered the next steps for the Forum's
studies of two vital problems in international scientific co-
operation: access by scientists to megascience facilities, and
administrative/legislative barriers that impede collaborative
projects. Agreement was reached on the types of data to be
collected for the studies, the methodology for the data
analysis, and the timeline for generating policy
recommendations to Forum member governments.
Three new Forum activities were approved:
(1) a working group, lead by France, that will provide avenue
for an inter-governmental discussion of international co-
operation in the field of Nuclear Physics;
(2) a workshop, which will be organised by Greece and Italy,
on on a deep-sea neutrino observatory, and
(3) a Japanese-sponsored workshop on the international aspects
of basic research aimed at understanding and solving the
interconnected ensemble of global-scale issues such as
population growth, food production, energy generation, natural
resource management and environmental protection.
The Tenth Meeting of the Megascience Forum will be held in
Paris on January 30/31, 1997. Additional information can be
obtained from the OECD Secretariat at (33 1) 45 24 96 99,
email: msforum@oecd.org. The Forum maintains a WWW site at
www.oecd.org/dsti/mega.
The Latin American Workshop on Education in Global
Change
Joseph P. Stoltman, Western Michigan University Department of
Geography, Kalamazoo, USA
Introduction
The workshop on Education in Global Change was an extension
the Project on Education in Global Change initiated by the
Committee on the Teaching of Science (CTS) in 1989. The CTS
Project resulted in the preparation and publishing of student
learning activities in science education entitled "Science for
Understanding Tomorrow's World: Global Change" in which the
research results of global change scientists were used as the
basis for developing lessons for upper secondary and beginning
university students. The English version was published in
1994. The initial plans for the Project on Education in Global
Change by CTS included editions for use in Asia and in Latin
America. The Asian edition of Global Change was prepared at a
Workshop in Madras, India, in 1993 working from
pre-publication draft materials. The Asian edition of Global
Change, revised to fit the context of Global Change in South
and Southeast Asia was completed in 1995. Upon completion of
the Asian Edition of Global Change (published in English),
work was begun on the Latin American edition. The following
steps were taken in preparation for a workshop in Latin
America.
1. Report on the Global Change Project at the Forum of the
Committee on Science and Technology in Developing Countries
(COSTED) during the General Assembly of ICSU in Santiago,
Chile, in 1993.
2. A site visit to the Universidad de Cuyo, Mendoza,
Argentina, to meet with the faculty of the Department of
Geography to ascertain their interest in hosting a Workshop on
Education in Global Change.
3. Translation of the original English version into Spanish,
completed in September, 1995.
4. Planning and securing funding for the workshop on Education
in Global Change was begun in early 1995.
5. The Department of Geography, Faculty of Philosophy,
Universidad de Cuyo, Mendoza, Argentina was selected as the
site for the workshop.
Objectives of the Workshop
The Workshop had three main objectives. They were:
1. To review and validate the Spanish translation of Global
Change: Science for Understanding Tomorrow's World.
2. To update and insert examples of global change research
from Latin America with a science education application.
3. To develop and implement a plan for the printing and
dissemination of Global Change: Science for Understanding
Tomorrow's World (Spanish edition) in Spanish speaking
countries of the world.
Participant Selection to the Workshop
Participants were nominated from each of the countries in
the geographic region of Latin America. There were 64
registered participants at the Workshop, of which 47 attended
full-time. Twenty-nine were from countries other than
Argentina, and the remainder from Argentina. Twenty-two
registrants were from the Universidad Nacional de Cuyo, the
hosting institution for the Workshop.
Twenty-nine participants to the Workshop received full
financial support. Several other participants received partial
support from their institutions or sponsoring agencies.
The working language was Spanish. Dr. Ruben Lara Lara of
the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research
(IAI),
Professor Joseph P. Stoltman, Department of Geography, Western
Michigan University, and Professor Josefina Ostuni, Department
of Geography, Universidad Nacional de Cuyo, served as
co-organizers of the Workshop.
Plan for the Workshop
The Workshop was designed to include planing and
informational sessions, scientific plenaries, writing and
reporting activities, field studies, and social events.
The mix of activities was deemed important since nearly all of
the participants would be working together for the first time
and the format of a science education writing workshop would
be new to many of them. Also, the educational level of Science
for Understanding Tomorrow's World: Global Change was upper
secondary and beginning university students in chemistry,
biology, geography, earth science, and general science
studies.
The participants also included scientists, science teachers,
and ministry of education science education specialists. The
range of diversity in curricula made it necessary for the
participants to identify where the global change materials
would fit best in different Latin American countries in
general. This took discussion and presentation of ideas and
information from the participants representing the different
countries.
The participants, after considerable planning, identified
writing tasks.
The major goal was to:
Design and write a science education activity based on global
change research in Latin America that complements and
strengthens the materials included in the ICSU sponsored
publication entitled "Science for Understanding Tomorrow's
World: Global Change".
Specific expectations were established. They were to:
1. Prepare a new materials for inclusion in Science for
Understanding Tomorrow's World: Global Change.
2. Use research data on global change from Latin American to
develop the new materials.
3. Complete a first draft of the new materials by the end of
the Workshop.
Scientific Program
The Workshop was designed to be writing intensive with
much of the participants' time devoted to the design and
preparation of draft materials to enhance and supplement
Science for Understanding Tomorrow's World: Global Change. In
addition, a scientific program that complemented the writing
task was planned and presented. It incorporated the following
components:
1. An introductory plenary by Dr. Ruben Lara Lara on the
mission, objectives, scientific projects underway, and
international scientific cooperation in Latin America by the
InterAmerican Institute for Global Change Research.
2. A plenary session by Dr. Jose Lozano on capacity building
and its importance to the scientific and educational
communities in Latin America: Global change, the research
agenda of the International Geosphere Biosphere Programme, and
the initiatives of separate countries.
3. A plenary session by Dr. Julia Martinez on the
meteorological research that is underway in Mexico and its
connection to the global change research agenda.
4. A plenary by Dr. Cecilia Conde on long term meteorological
variability in Mexico and its significance to the global
change research agenda.
5. Two scientific field studies: one was to the Andes in which
long term variability in glacial and vegetation patterns was
observed, along with the human dimension of land use and land
cover change. The second was to the Mendoza region to study
the impact of irrigation on changing the region, the natural
hazards that affect the area, and human adjustments to the
natural systems.
Overall, the balance of writing intensive sessions, plenary
sessions, and scientific field study provided variety for the
participants, but also enabled them to focus on the overall
topic of global change research and its implications at
several different scales of study.
Outcomes of the Workshop
Writing subcommittees were formed during the Workshop and
each produced a first draft of a new activity for inclusion in
the Spanish Edition of "Science for Understanding Tomorrow's
World: Global Change". Each of the topics in the original
English edition (Oceans; Atmosphere; Clues from the Past;
Population and Land Use; Carbon Cycle; and Remote Sensing)
were selected to receive updates, revisions, or newly added
materials focusing upon Latin America. Writing groups convened
and worked on their specific topics for approximately twelve
hours each during the week. Drafts, including all illustrative
materials, were presented to the organizers on the final day
of the Workshop. The progress by each writing group was
reported on to the Workshop participants on the final day. The
writing groups also appointed coordinators to be responsible
for reviewing and disseminating drafted materials to the
writing team members.
Next Steps
The participants at the Workshop agreed that the important
issue is the dissemination of the publication in Spanish to
secondary and tertiary level teachers in Latin America. First
among the steps was to develop a means to assure the editorial
and publication work on the Spanish edition. A plan has been
implemented for a sub committee to take responsibility for
moving the Spanish edition towards fruition. A second group
will search out opportunities to present the materials at
professional meetings and conferences, through newsletter and
journal reviews, and via personal contacts. A third approach
will be to reach large groups of teachers at a single time
during scientific conferences and congresses. Such an
opportunity is forthcoming during the 2nd Conference of the
International Council of Associations of Science Education
(ICASE) in Mar del Plata, Argentina, from April 22 26, 1997.
Approximately 600 science educators and scientists from Latin
America are expected to attend the Conference. The Global
Change materials prepared in Mendoza during the Workshop are
to be highlighted during the ICASE Conference. Three
objectives for participation in the ICASE meeting are:
1. to present the concept of Education in Global Change in the
Latin American context;
2. to demonstrate lessons and activities from Global Change
that are based on research; and
3. to suggest ways that the materials fit into the science
curriculum in general in Latin America.
Summary and Recommendations
The Workshop in Mendoza has set in progress the preparation of
materials that are judged by the participants to be valuable
for inclusion in the curricula in Latin American countries.
They were deemed to be especially helpful to teachers in that
they were self-contained and ready to use and that the global
change topics included in the publication could be selected
and used several different places in the curriculum, depending
upon the country and the age of the students. Based on the
outcomes of the Workshop and the commitment of the
participants to take the publication to the print stage, the
following recommendations are extended.
1. that the InterAmerican Institute for Global Change (IAI)
become the coordinating organization for the next stages in
the project.
2. that an advisory committee be established by IAI to
complete and coordinate the necessary steps in the process.
Science for Understanding Tomorrow's World: Global
Change meets a particularly urgent need for educational
materials in Latin America among teachers at both the
secondary and university levels. The Workshop in Mendoza
provided the first opportunity in realizing solutions to the
needs for research based, science education materials on the
issue of global change.
Cooperating Organizations
The following organizations provided support for the
Workshop:
Committee on Science and Technology in Developing Countries
-International Biosciences Network (COSTED-IBN), International
Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU), International
Geographical Union Commission on Education (IGUCGE),
Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI),
National Science Foundation (NSF), Swiss Forum for Climate and
Global Change (ProClim), Organization of American States
(OAS), and the Facultad de Filosofia y Letras, Universidad
Nacional de Cuyo (UNC).
LOOKING AHEAD
Workshop on the financing of Basic Research in Central and
Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
Christine Glenday, on detail to ICSUfrom National Science
Foundation, USA
As a result of a recommendation by ICSU's Committee on Science
in Central and Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
(COMSCEE), ICSU will host a two day "Workshop on the Financing
of Basic Research in Central and Eastern Europe and the Former
Soviet Union" at the ICSU headquarters on July 15-16, 1996.
This workshop will be held in cooperation with the European
Science Foundation, the European Commission, and the
Association for the Promotion of Cooperation with Scientists
from the New Independent State of the Former Soviet Union
(INTAS). The meeting will be chaired by ICSU's President
J.C.l. Dooge and will also be attended by UNESCO's new
Assistant Director General for Science Dr. Maurizio laccarino
and the Secretary General of the European Science Foundation
Dr. Peter Fricker.
The establishment of new mechanisms for the support of
fundamental scientific research in the countries of Central
and Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union has occurred
over the past five years as the result of major national
political and economic reform. Although these countries
inherited a similar scientific and administrative structure
reflecting Soviet science policy, they have taken different
approaches to the question of science reform overall, and in
particular to the establishment of systems, including new
foundations, for financing individual basic research with the
use of competitive peer review.
The aim of this workshop is to bring together for the first
time key representatives from scientific organizations in
these countries to meet with international counterparts to
address three important themes:
- experience with the peer review system of evaluation
- international cooperation, including the necessity to
improve coordination among funding agencies through different
legal regulations and governmental procedures
- Russian Foundation for the Humanities
- State Committee of Ukraine for Science, Technology and
Industrial Policy
- Academy of Sciences of Moldova
- Ministry of Science and New Technologies of Kazakhstan
- Committee for Science and Technology of the Republic of Georgia
- Science Council of Lithuania
- Estonian Science Foundation
- Latvian Council of Sciences
- State Committee for Scientific Research of Poland (KBN)
- Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
- Hungarian Scientific Research Fund (OTKA)
- Slovenian Science Foundation
- Czech Grant Agency
- Slovak Grant Agency
A full report on the meeting will appear in the next issue of
Sdence International.
8th Congress of the Panamerican Association for
Biochemistry and Molecular Biology (PABMB)
The 8th Congress of PABMB will take place in Pucon, Chile,
from 16-21 November 1996.
For further information please write to:
CALENDAR
Calendar of forthcoming Events
August Members of the ICSU General Committee for the period
1993-1996
Officers
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